Strategic Intelligence Feed
Real-time analysis of the resources and power shifts redefining global sovereignty
What the Uranium Term Market Knows That the Spot Price Does Not
Uranium finished August with a spot price near $89.75 a pound, up about four percent on the month, which is the number that gets quoted. The number that matters is the other one. The long term price, the level at which utilities and producers sign multi year supply contracts,...
The Quiet Handoff in Who Funds the Treasury
The Treasury International Capital data for June, released in the middle of August, showed foreign investors holding roughly $9.3 trillion of United States government debt. That is close to a record, and the headline reading is reassuring. The world still finances Washington without apparent difficulty, and the auctions still
Silver's Sixth Deficit and the Inventory Nobody Counts
The Silver Institute expects the silver market to run a supply deficit again this year, the sixth consecutive one, with the shortfall estimated at roughly 67 million ounces. Mine production is forecast to rise about one percent to 820 million ounces, drawn from expanded operations and new projects in Mexico,
The Stockpile America Sold and Is Now Trying to Rebuild
Resource nationalism has moved from a theoretical risk to an operating condition of the minerals trade. China expanded export controls on rare earth elements and the technologies used to process them in October of last year, suspending the measures a month later after they had already demonstrated what the mechanism
Cropland Sets Another Record While the Rent Stands Still
The Department of Agriculture's annual land values report, released at the end of July, put average United States cropland above six thousand dollars an acre for the first time, at $6,020, a rise of 3.3 percent over the prior year. Pastureland reached $2,000 an acre
Why Warsaw Keeps Buying Gold Faster Than Anyone Else
Poland's central bank has again led the world in gold purchases this year, adding more bullion to its reserves than any other monetary authority and continuing a buying program that has run for the better part of a decade. The National Bank of Poland now holds roughly 550
The Forty Trillion Marker and the Cost of Carrying It
The federal debt crossed forty trillion dollars in the third week of August, according to Treasury Department figures, having roughly doubled since 2017. Markets absorbed the number without much reaction, and that quiet is the more interesting part of the story. A debt total is a stock figure, and stock
The Cattle Shortage Is a Reminder of How Slowly Herds Rebuild
The American cattle herd has fallen to its smallest size in roughly 75 years, and beef prices have climbed accordingly, with ground beef up nearly 60 percent over the past five years and choice cuts of steak setting fresh records this summer. Ranchers holding cattle are seeing genuinely strong profits,
The Penny's Retirement and What It Says About a Currency's Smallest Unit
The United States Mint has ended production of the penny after more than two centuries, with the final coins for general circulation struck in late 2025. The reason is almost comically direct. It now costs the government roughly three and a half cents to manufacture a coin worth one cent,
Western and Eastern Gold Investors Are Doing Very Different Things
Gold exchange traded funds have shown a striking regional split this year. North American investors pulled a record amount out of gold ETFs in a single quarter, treating their holdings as an interest rate trade to be unwound once expectations shifted, while Chinese investors poured a record amount into gold
The Emergency Oil Reserve Is Running Lower Than It Has in Decades
The Strategic Petroleum Reserve has fallen to its lowest level since 1982, drawn down sharply this year in response to a regional conflict that briefly threatened the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most important oil transit chokepoints. Some analysts now warn the reserve is approaching an
The Ratio Between Gold and Silver Was Not Always Like This
Gold currently trades for somewhere between roughly sixty and eighty times the price of silver, depending on the week, a ratio that has swung dramatically even within this year alone, touching historic extremes above 100 to 1 before compressing sharply as industrial demand pulled silver higher. Analysts debate whether the
Wheat Prices Are Rising Again for a Very Old Reason
Wheat prices have been climbing toward two year highs this year, driven largely by renewed disruptions to Black Sea grain exports as regional conflict continues to threaten the ports that move a meaningful share of the world's wheat supply. Global harvests remain generally abundant, which has kept the
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